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the one absolutely certain fact
in this "
planetary election" is that
100,000 slaughtered iraqis
(according to the first reliable study from Iraqi and US public health experts)
won’t be using their newly awarded
FREEDOM” to vote
for the former U.S. president

goddess preserve us -
it’s the Devil who speaks through
this
Burning Bush

        \)))))((/
__,,,,_{ô¿ô}_,,,,__
yes, am sticking with my prediction of a huge kerry victory:)

after the non-Battle of Falluja (april 20) when i started predicting the Beginning of the Fall of the Dinosaurs’ Last Stand, nobody gave any democrat a chance of winning this election. all the standard indicators were for bush - loadsa corporate money, bin laden already probably in chains etc, remember? 

and yet, since i’ve been away on the
caravanserai club’s Croatian outing, the established view has become that it's "too close to call".

well, i am calling it, and continue to predict (still alone in this) a kerry victory of historic proportions!  stolen explosives, massive slaighter of women and children and all the rest of it, bush’s karma is just 2 much and 2 uncontrollable for his team to run a successful campaign.  roll on Nov 2 and the Beginning of the Post Dinosaur Era!

STOP PRESS: BIN LADEN VIDEO JUST BEING REPORTED. THE WILD CARD. EVERYONE SAYING IT'S TOO HARD TO PREDICT ITS EFFECT. BUT THE SLIDE ONTO THE FOSSIL RECORD OF THE ANCIENT DINOSAUR ELITE CANNOT BE STOPPED BY ANYTHING AT THIS POINT, I THINK. 
LET US PRAY.

(\o/)(\o/)(\o/)  u cant understand the world without innerstanding yourself (\o/)(\o/)(\o/)
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UP! 209// oct 29  2004
la- la- la- lap-toppling da system!
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(\o/)(\o/)(\o/) u cant innerstand yourself without understanding the world (\o/)(\o/)(\o/)

contents
p.03   Polling Truth - Polls have a great deal to tell us about the state of the race.  But not in the way people generally assume.
p.04    Top 35 Trends That Say Kerry Will Take The White House
p.08   Why George Bush is Good for Comedy Swami Beyondananda
p.11   Bolivian Drug War Myths Fall Apart - After years of struggle, the Bolivian government finally recognises legitimate, legal Coca cultivation in the chapare
p.14   Paranoid 9/11 Fantasies Distract From Real Issues//FEEDBACK
p.16   Nader's Own Test Shows the Candidates Are Different
UP!


CARAVANSERAI CLUB UPDATE
just back from calmatia eh dalmatia, croatia.
overall, it was fine for 2 weeks of sun, medieval cities, islands and beaches (non sandy) but i failed to find a single gram of mysticism in the whole place.
while unwilling to dismiss the entire slavic race, the RomanXtianCroatian mix is not my taste. but i might have read them wrong, which nevertheless still leaves me with the question:  do i CARE about the slavic peoples?!!!  enuff to tell u guys?  i think not.  i DID make notes, tho, for a “
3 Week Safari Outside Cyberia” essay that i might get around to writing when the Election & Aftermath has settled.
 
in terms of caravanserai 'members' we had at least nine, and missed the majority of them thru choosing the wrong cafe from the guide book and hitting on a totally unorganised and not very friendly one. next time we'll have a mobile.
roll on megatripolis, the caravanserai club’s next outing, in northern greece in early spring.  again u r invited :)
UP!


Polling Truth
With 4 days to go, Americans are being inundated by polls, at least 112 in the last week alone.  Don't let their seemingly contradictory findings confuse you.   Bush is in deep  trouble.
The fact is, polls have a great deal to tell us about the state of the race.  But not in the way people generally assume.

It's Not Head To Head
Polls are always reported as though there's a winner, and there's a loser.  So a poll showing Bush leading 45-42 is headlined "BUSH LEADS BY THREE", when the reality is that Bush is actually losing.

In US elections, any elected official polling less than 50% is considered vulnerable.  "Voters typically know incumbents well and have strong opinions about their performance.  Challengers are less familiar and invariably fall short on straightforward comparisons of experience and (in the presidential arena) command of foreign policy.  Some voters find themselves conflicted - dissatisfied with the incumbent yet also wary of the challenger - and may carry that uncertainty through the final days of the campaign and sometimes right into the voting booth.  But the negative attitudes about the incumbent are usually more predictive of these conflicted voters' final decision than their lingering doubts about the challenger.  Thus, in the campaign's last hours, we tend to see 'undecided' voters 'break' for the challenger."  Mark Blumenthal.

In Ohio, Bush scores range 43-49%, failing to break 50% in any of the 12 Ohio polls in October.  Indeed, there are signs that Bush has essentially abandoned the state, working to build his electoral majority by winning 3 out of 4 in Florida, Iowa, Wisconsin, and New Mexico

But October polling in those states also show an incumbent in serious trouble.

In 14
Florida polls, Bush hasn't broken 50% since a SurveyUSA poll conducted between October 1 and October 3.  A subsequent SurveyUSA poll now gives Kerry a 50-49 lead in the state. 

In
Iowa, a single poll has Bush at 51% while 6 others range 46-49%.

Wisconsin is giving Democrats heartburn, but Bush breaks 50% in only one of the 9 polls this month.  Two independent polls put him as far back as 43%.

New Mexico has Bush in the 43-49% range, anaemic numbers in a state Gore won by less than 1,000 votes.

Perhaps the Bush campaign is right and the 50% rule won't apply to them this year.  But they haven't been right about much for the past 4 years, have they?
 
Markos Moulitsas, US blogger.
UP!

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TEXT JOCKEY //  TJ PHRASER (Fraser Clark) & THE MEDIA EVOLUTION 
MIXING THE TRACTS LIVE ON THE KEYBOARD @ A MEDIA-MEME RATE OF 160 IPP * 
* Ideas Per Paragraph
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Top 35 Trends That Say Kerry
Will Take The White House

1) Bush must lead by 4%: Professor Alan of the Emerging Democratic  Majority shows that Bush must go into November 2 with an average of at least a  4% lead in such polls if he is to have any sort of hope.
http://www.emergingdemocraticmajorityweblog.com/donkeyrising/archives/ 000793.php

2) The 'Cell Phone Polling' Phenomenon: Traditional polling relies almost exclusively on landline telephone.  According to  Charlie Cook of the Cook Political Report, 18% of the electorate rely  exclusively on cell phones.  The majority of these were single Americans 18 - 24, living in mostly urban areas.
According to Newsweek (10/16/04), young voters (18-29) favour Kerry/Edwards by 9%.
http://www.politicalstrategy.org/archives/000559.php
http://www.cookpolitical.com/
http://www.thehill.com/news/101304/phones.aspx
http://www.mydd.com/story/2004/10/17/211753/88

3) Zogby is the Most Accurate Pollster: Zogby, which touts the most accurate polls for the last two presidential elections, calls for a very strong Kerry victory.  He has referred to the race as 
"Kerry's to lose."
http://www.politicalstrategy.org/archives/000504.php

4) Kerry Has Large Leads in Swing States: Kerry is doing extremely well where it matters, leading Bush by 10% in the swing states.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/

5) PA Goes to Kerry: Pennsylvania is NOT in play (and neither is New Jersey.  Don't let the GOP Poll 'Strategic Vision' fool you.)  That leaves Ohio and Florida as the next target.
http://www.electoral-vote.com/pastpolls.html#Pennsylvania

6) Seniors Favour Kerry: According to Newsweek, Seniors (65+) favour Kerry/Edwards by 15%, 54-39.  The 65+ Category is particularly important in Florida where this age group make up a disproportionately large percentage of the voting population.
http://www.mydd.com/story/2004/10/17/211753/88

7) Kerry Appeals to Independents in the Debates: Polls showed that Kerry gained favour from swing voters as a result of his performances.  Many more people had increased positive perceptions of him than the number of people who had an increased positive perception for Bush, and the number whose perception of Kerry grew more negative was less than the number whose perception of Bush grew more negative.
http://www.usatoday.com/news/polls/tables/live/second-debate.htm

8) Kerry Appeals to independents... Period.: In polling, self-proclaimed independents favour Kerry/Edwards by 11%, 51-40.
http://www.mydd.com/story/2004/10/17/211753/88

9) New Standard for GOTV: GOTV efforts were allocated $25 million by the DNC in the 2000 election cycle.  This year they will commit about the same.  The difference, however, comes with a new 527 called America Coming Together, a group that will be devoting at least $125 million toward the GOTV effort. They will also be adding an expertise, coordination and organisation 
unseen in prior years.
http://actforvictory.org/
http://washingtontimes.com/upi-breaking/20040725-061046-5931r.htm

10) Democrats Won the Registration Wars: Voter Registrations have heavily favoured the Democratic party this cycle.  Dems have made significant gains on Republicans in numbers 
of party affiliated registrations in practically every swing state.
http://www.mydd.com/story/2004/9/25/17248/6632

Debate Effect
11) Kerry Erased Doubts About Himself: The Debates erased many of the doubts held by undecideds as Kerry showed a man who was poised, consistent, tough, intelligent, able to think on his feet and keep his cool.  He was a man with a plan for everything.  He was 'presidential'... and he didn't need a transmitter to pull it off.  Kerry was also successful in countering the nonsense charges of 'flip-flopping'.

12) Bush Increased Doubts About Himself: The debates raised doubts about Bush. He was inept, incoherent, repetitive, negative, inconsistent and lacking in identity. (Which debate had the 'real' Bush?). He was unable to defend his record and unable to conjure any meaningful new attacks on Kerry.  Bush did succeed in one facet of the debates.  He succeeded in spurring two rumours that might explain his dubious debate performances. One, that he was "hooked up" to his handlers via a transmitter hidden under his suit coat. And two. That he had suffered a mild stroke or some sort of onsetting dementia.

Now (Election 2004) vs. Then (Election 2000)
13) Ralph Nader: Nader is less of an issue this year, although he could still quite probably throw some swing states to the evil one.  In any event, Nader is on the ballot in fewer states (but still on in Florida) than in 2000, and hopefully most Naderites will realise by Nov 2 that 4 more years of bush will finish the job of destroying everything that they claim to hold dear.
* see also Nader's Own Test Shows the Candidates Are Different

14) Howard Dean: The Dean Revolution has given rise to a new generation of Democratic voters and activists, and has given hope to a previously undercounted, underappreciated and underestimated demographic.  It has rewritten the book on how elections are played.  Long live Howard Dean!

15) Michael Moore: The 'Moore Effect' and Fahrenheit 911Love it or leave it, polls show that the film had significant influence on the impressions that 'uncommitted' voters had of Bush.  In addition, most anecdotal evidence suggests that those self-proclaimed independents who saw it were 'disgusted and disturbed' with Bush -- not exactly words of likely Bush voters.

16) George Soros: The Republicans have always had their sugar daddies to fund all their wacky pet projects -- Scaife, Coors, the Waltons, and others.  Now we have one that, if not funding all our wacky pet projects, is at least putting his considerable resources toward the same goals.  Thank you George Soros.

17) The 527's: The Joint Victory Campaign 2004, a consortium of organisations including Moveon.org, America Coming Together, the Media Fund, America Votes, and the Thunder Road Group, have turned this election cycle into one where Democrats have been able to manage a virtual and unprecedented financial parity with the GOP.  At the same time, these groups have supplied Democrats with an enormous, talented, organised ground army as well as attack dogs that are able to proxy for the Dems when they couldn't involve themselves directly.
http://www.cnsnews.com/ ViewSpecialReports.aspPage=%5CSpecialReports%5Carchive%5C200406%5CSPE200 40628a.html

18) Newspaper endorsements: ... they don’t mean much by themselves, but as a group, an interesting phenomenon is occurring that might cause people to take notice.  It seems that those newspapers across the nation that endorsed Gore are now endorsing Kerry -- and those papers that endorsed Bush are now endorsing.....uh...well, some are endorsing Bush and some are now endorsing Kerry.  Seems quite one-sided.
Of course, I'm not suggesting that the editorial pages of America's newspapers represent Joe and Jane voter.  But, the fact that prior Bush supporters, whomever they should be, are moving into the Kerry camp, while none of the Gore supporters are turning to Bush seems telling.
http://www.editorandpublisher.com/eandp/news/article_display.jsp? vnu_content_id=1000673213

19) The New Progressive Media: Beginnings of a true progressive media: The addition, since the 2000 election, of such institutions as Air America, the Center for American Progress, the Rockridge Institute and Media Matters, along with the rise of the "progressive web" (Blogs, news and opinion 
sites, and headline aggregators) have given a new voice and a new outlet with which to air it.  This emerges from the cloud of trash emanating from right-wing hate radio, Fox News, the Washington Times, the NY Post, etc.  Of course this is just the beginning.
http://www.airamericaradio.com/
http://www.americanprogress.org/site/c.biJRJ8OVF/b.8473/
http://www.rockridgeinstitute.org/
http://mediamatters.org/

20) Better Informed Public: Voter fraud and intimidation have come under greater scrutiny.  Hopefully this will cause the GOP to pause when they enact their schemes.

21) Better Educated Florida Electorate: Florida Voters are more aware and informed.  Hopefully, that means there will be fewer overvotes and undervotes.  Hopefully people will know what to do if they feel they are a victim of voter intimidation.  Hopefully Jewish seniors won't vote for Pat Buchanan.  Hopefully, counties won't dabble in 'Butterfly' ballots.

22) Log Cabin Republicans: Log Cabin Republicans have abandoned Bush.  This administration's flagrant and disgraceful bigotry targeted at gays has led the primary GOP organisation for gays to forego any endorsement.  This means that the group, instead of sending out literature urging their members to vote for Bush, will be sending out information explaining that the administration's push to amend the constitution to define them as a second class citizenry has forced them to suggest that members stay home on election day.  In 2000, one million self-described gays and lesbians voted for Bush Though most were not members of the Log Cabin Republicans organization, the impact of this refusal to endorse Bush was felt across the demographic.
True, this doesn't mean Bush will automatically lose one million votes, but consider this.  Suppose 95% of those who voted for Bush in 2000 are likely to show up in 2004 as well.  Now suppose only 30% of those are fed up enough not to vote (a conservative estimate).  That means 95% x 30% x 1,000,000 = 285,000 fewer votes will make it into Bush's electoral coffers than would otherwise have made it.  To counter this effect, one might consider the increased number of votes from Bush's bigoted constituency, those who support the gay marriage amendment and who would not otherwise vote but for this issue.
http://www.southernvoice.com/2004/10-15/view/columns/gayrebs.cfm

23) Arab Americans: Arab Americans are abandoning Bush.  This demographic went solidly for Bush in 2000.  "In just the 4 battleground states we're polling, over 200,000 Arab American voters have switched from the Republican to the Democratic column," said Jim Zogby, senior analyst for Zogby International, which specialises in Muslim and Arab polling.  A Zogby poll of the 4 states in September projected a turnout of 510,000 Arab American voters, including 120,000 in Florida and 85,000 in Ohio -- both of which went to Bush in 2000, along with their combined 46 electoral votes.  The poll showed Kerry leading Bush in these states, 47% to 31.%, with 9% backing independent candidate Ralph Nader.
A second Zogby poll of 1,700 Muslim voters nationwide conducted for Georgetown University showed Kerry leading Bush, 68% to 7%, with 11% backing Nader.
Zogby and other analysts estimate the Muslim electorate at around 2 million voters.
http://www.sacbee.com/content/politics/story/11133305p-12049737c.html

24) Cuban Americans: Bush owes much to the Cuban-American voters, particularly in Florida. Cubans are the only Latin American demographic which clearly favour Republicans and they are a voting force in Florida -- a necessary constituency if Bush hopes to pull Florida out of the bag once again.  Recently, the Cuban American Commission for Family Rights announced their disfavour with the administration's policies in the following statement:
President Bush's new Cuban sanctions policy creates more hardship for Cuban Americans, his voting constituency, than to the Cuban government, and opens itself up to serious discriminatory legal actions, aside from loss of votes.
This is the first time in the history of U.S. reunification policies that such policy goes against family reunification, discouraging visits and redefining the definition of who is family.
http://www.politicalstrategy.org/archives/000027.php

Coattail Indicators
25) Senate Races: NON-incumbent Democrats are running uncharacteristically strong in traditionally conservative strongholds.  Dems are favoured in such right-wing bastions as Alaska, Colorado, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Oklahoma.  And now we can add Kentucky to that list.   The same is NOT true for NON-incumbent Republicans in traditional democratic strongholds.
http://www.electoral-vote.com/info/senate.html
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2004/10/18/125453/72

26) Conservative Strongholds: Some conservative strongholds are in play, offering Kerry some non-traditional electoral opportunities, including Virginia, North Carolina, Arkansas, and Colorado.

27) Vote Banking: Vote banking, voting prior to November 2nd (not all states allow this), helped Gore take Iowa in 2000 and continues to help Kerry.
This also helps alleviate long lines that typically occur in heavily populated urban areas (Democratic Strongholds) on November 2nd, and theoretically ensures that your vote gets counted.  'Irregularities' can be addressed prior to election day and voter intimidation is a more difficult prospect for the GOP during this period.  Reports indicate that Vote Banking is in full stride, far outpacing any prior year.
Along these lines, early voters favour Kerry/Edwards by 9%, 52-43 (meaning those voters who voted prior to the official election day).
http://chris-bowers.mydd.com/story/2004/10/11/11139/979
http://www.mydd.com/story/2004/10/17/211753/88

Common Wisdom
28) The 50% Rule: If an incumbent is experiencing approval ratings below 50%, he or she usually loses. The latest CBS News/NY Times poll gave Bush only a 44% approval rating.  The average of the last 5 polls shows Bush's job approval even further below 50%.
* Approve: 46%
* Disapprove: 48.1%
http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2004-10/20/content_2113186.htm
http://www.pollingreport.com/BushJob.htm

29) Right Track, Wrong Track: Polls say more people think the country is on the wrong track than the right track. This can hardly work in Bush's favour.  People believe the nation under Bush is headed in the wrong direction.  The average of the last 11 polls citing whether the nation is heading in the Right/Wrong direction heavily disfavours Bush:
* Right direction: 42%
* Wrong Direction: 52%
http://slate.msn.com/id/2108322/

30) Incumbent Rule: 'Undecideds' break at least 60-40% for the challenger.  Also, an incumbent president rarely gets more than 1% of the popular vote than the final polls show.  If an incumbent is polling, 47%, 48% just before the election, that is probably what he will get.  In contrast, the challenger always does much better than the final polls indicate!
http://www.mydd.com/story/2004/9/3/22294/96534
http://www.latimes.com/news/politics/2004/la-na- fifty18oct18,1,6516901.story?coll=la-home-headlines

31) Re-elect: Bush's Re-elect numbers are terrible.  The average of the last 6 independent polls
shows Bush's re-elect numbers at:
* Yes: 46.7%
* No: 49.2%
http://slate.msn.com/id/2108322

Fire in the Belly
32) Rocketing Gas and Energy Prices: The price of gas serves as a constant reminder of Bush's failures in both foreign and domestic policy.  Common wisdom says that people vote their pocket.  Indeed, nobody cares what the price is for a barrel of oil ...unless it filters into higher gas and energy prices.  This is a material impact on the pockets of average Americans and even if some won't admit it, they blame the problem, at least in part, on the government (currently headed by George W. Bush).  People also understand that the invasion of Iraq has 'something' to do with these prices.  Sure, Bush supporters are unlikely to vote for Kerry because of this, but it might subconsciously give reason for some to find themselves just a touch too busy to make it to the polls on election day.

33) The Bush Draft: The administration and its minions are trying desperately to quash the spreading speculation of a 'Bush Draft'.  Despite their best efforts, the word continues to spread -- and with ill effects for Bush.  Bush is helping us to get out the 'cell-phone-only' demographic -- people aged 18-24.

34) Expatriates: Non-military expatriates are motivated to remove Bush (as are non-career military personnel).  These are the people who have had to deal directly with the lashback from the rampant, Bush-inspired anti-Americanism that has flourished during the last 4 years.

35) The left is fired up!:  This is the key ingredient to ensure maximum turnout by the left on election day.  This is one thing we can all thank Bush for.  The left is so outraged and disgusted with the policies, lies and crimes of this administration, that we wouldn't stay home on election day if it was raining darts (something the GOP is probably working on.)
[Courtesy of Larry Morningstar via Molly Young Brown and Arie Dancer, both from Mount Shasta, California.]


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Six Reasons Why Kerry Will Lose
REPEAT THE FOLLOWING FIVE TIMES:
Bush is unquestionably the most qualified person to crash this Empire down around our ears, and the Novelty Wave most certainly includes, key among its phenomenology, the crashing of this Empire, the most racist, imperialist, earth-destroying, indigenous-people-crushing, fascist, Disneyfied, bullshit promoting, petroleum-dependent, spiritually trashed, intellectually bankrupt, economically corrupt, stupidassedly hypocritical regime that ever walked the planet.
quantitatively speaking, of course; qualitatively, there have been worse.

so,
PLEASE VOTE FOR BUSH and help CRASH THIS EMPIRE so we can, you know, fulfil some weird prophecy.  perhaps one of the Mayan astronomer-priests smoking 5-meO DMT foretold all this already, in which case, i want some of that!

peaceout,
bobby g, boston.
UP!


Why George Bush is Good for Comedy
- his ability to generate ready-to-use comedy material cannot be misunderestimated.
- his past provides the left with an answer for “
latté liberal”  “cocaine conservative”.
- his language is rich in irony:
Clear Skies Initiative. Healthy Forests. No Child Left Behind. And of course, the Patriot “Act.”
- his wild & crazy approach to foreign affairs has awakened Americans to the realisation that there’s definitely something funny going on.
- he put
Mad Cowboy Disease into the lexicon, not to mention Deficit Inattention Disorder.
-
Only in America: A guy missing in inaction while in the reserves grows up to be Commander-in-Chief.
- how’s this for comic irony?  Clinton takes an outturn with an intern and nearly gets impeached.  Bush is in bed with that Enron Lay who screwed millions, and gets away with it.
- he’s a jokester when he wants to be, like when he invited a group of “
tree huggers” to his Texas ranch and gave them each a prickly pear cactus as a gift.
- his
serious foolishness has united the people of the world to choose the pro-laugh credo of “all for fun, and fun for all” and work for a world where we all laugh together instead of all crying separately.
[Swami Beyondananda/Steve Bhaerman]
http://www.wakeuplaughing.com/
UP!


"To be hopeful in bad times
    is not just foolishly romantic.
    It is based on the fact that human history
    is a history not only of
cruelty
    but also of compassion, sacrifice,
    courage, kindness
.
   
What we choose to emphasise
    in this complex history
    will determine our lives.
  
 If we see only the
worst,
    it destroys our capacity to do something.
    If we remember those times and places --
    and there are so many --
    where people have behaved magnificently,
    this gives us the energy to act,
    and at least the possibility
    of sending this spinning top of a world
    in a different direction.

And if we do act, in however small a way,
    we don't have to wait
    for
some grand utopian future.
    The future is an infinite succession of presents,
    and to live now
    as we think human beings should live,
    in defiance of all that is bad around us,
    is itself a marvellous victory."
Howard Zinn
UP!


Never Again?!
America's 138,000 troops in Iraq were asking for a little help from their British friends. Could an 850-strong armoured battalion of Scotland's Black Watch Regiment please be redeployed from Basra to the outskirts of Baghdad? The request seemed straightforward enough. Yet it triggered another political crisis for Prime Minister Tony Blair. As British commanders weighed the American request, London editors wrote scaremongering headlines about the Black Watch's walking into a "Triangle of Death."  Blair's critics charged that acceding to the U.S. request would amount to an election-eve boost to Bush's presidential campaign. Is it not time "to say 'no' to the Americans?" one Labour Party M.P. demanded of Blair.

The prime minister didn't cave. But a new conventional wisdom is taking hold among Britain's military and foreign-policy elite: even if John Kerry defeats Bush, any British government will find it difficult, if not impossible, to muster popular support for a future American-led military intervention. A senior British diplomat put it bluntly to NEWSWEEK: "
Never again."
Stryker McGuire, Newsweek
UP!


Spinning Earth Twists Space
"Frame-dragging," one of the last untested predictions of general relativity, has been confirmed by the first reasonably accurate measurement of how the rotating Earth warps the fabric of space.  Researchers charted the path of two NASA satellites over 11 years with laser range-finders with the precision of a few millimetres.
[news@nature.com October 20, 2004]
UP!


Plague Carriers: Most Users Unaware Of PC Infections
A study of home PCs found that 80% had been infected with spyware.  America Online and the National Cyber Security Alliance found home users mostly unprotected from online threats and largely ignorant of the whole business.
[CNET News.com October 24, 2004]
UP!


london
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Bolivian Drug War Myths Fall Apart
After years of struggle, the Bolivian government finally recognises legitimate, legal Coca cultivation in the chapare
by Alex Contreras Baspineiro, Narco News South American Bureau Chief.

One of the greatest myths of the drug war in Bolivia has fallen to pieces.  The Carlos Mesa administration and the U.S. embassy there have recognised the existence of 3,200 hectares (7900 acres) of Coca, grown for traditional, personal consumption, in the Chapare region, near the city of Cochabamba.

The previous rhetoric on the Chapare coca that it all goes to
narco-trafficking, that those who chew it or brew it in tea are drug addicts, or that its farmers are narco-terrorists have been left behind.  That coca will now be respected.

On October 3, the government and the coca growers signed a nine-point Memorandum of Understanding to pacify, conditionally, the
red zone in the Chapare.  The Chapare is located in a region known as the Tropic of Cochabamba.

Last year U.S. Ambassador David Greenlee said: “
The Tropic of Cochabamba has only one path: to continue to expand the planting of alternative development crops in the region, and to maintain the eradications until we reach ¡®zero coca.”

Today, point four of the new agreement reads: “The reduction of all coca crops in the Tropic of Cochabamba to no less than 3,200 hectares is agreed upon, until the results of the Study of the Demand for Legal Coca Consumption are known.”  According to the agreement, this land will be divided between the members of the Six Federations of the Tropic of Cochabamba, the main coca growers’ federation.

The Government’s recognition of these 3,200 hectares of coca did not happen by chance, but rather as the result of years of struggle and confrontation on the part of small farmers.  “
There is joy throughout the Chapare, because if we calculate it, this allows every coca-growing family one cato of coca.  This is the product of many years of struggle with previous governments, who were subject to the will of the United States Embassy” said Bolivian congressman and coca growers¡¯ leader Evo Morales.

A cato is 1,600 square meters, just over a third of an acre.

The situation is only temporary, and will be revised upon completion of a new independent survey on production and consumption patterns.  However, Morales said that this agreement with the government has essentially broken Law 1008, the Bolivian ‘Regulation of Coca and Controlled Substances Law’ that has been in effect since 1988, and that the coca growers have been trying to change ever since.

A Little History
On September 28, a confrontation between coca growers in the town of Bustillos and soldiers from the Joint Task Force, the military’s major anti-drug squad, resulted in the death of farmer Juan Choque Cruz.  Choque Cruz, 38, was shot in the head and killed instantly by a uniformed soldier, while nineteen others were wounded.

At the time,
Morales announced that “this is the first shooting death to happen under the administration of Carlos Mesa. This situation cannot continue.”

The murder, yet to be explained by the government, provoked a strong reaction from the coca growers’ movement.  Thousands surrounded military outposts and blocked the entrances to their own communities, forcing the government to halt forced eradication in the region.

Now, the elimination of coca fields will be voluntary, and organised by the Six Federations of the Tropic of Cochabamba.

Law 1008, passed on July 19, 1988 and often condemned as “
draconian,” outlined three coca production zones in Bolivia: “traditional” coca, “excess and transition” coca, and “illicit” coca.  The traditional zone is defined as the area where, according to the government, coca has been grown historically and for traditional purposes.  The excess and transition zone comprises coca planted in marginal areas by settlers.  The illicit zone comprises the rest of the country.

The Tropic of Cochabamba contains a mixture of all 3 zones, so while some coca is already produced legally, much is also targeted for eradication.

The coca growers say that current Interior Minister Saul Lara, once a legal adviser to coca growers’ organisations, was one of the authors of the now-weakened Law 1008.
http://www.narconews.com/Issue34/article1078.html
UP!


Bacteria are Genetically Modified by Lightning
University of Lyon researchers have found that lightning opens up pores in soil bacteria, allowing them to pick up any stray DNA present.  The researchers suspect the phenomenon is widespread, speeding up the rate at which bacteria evolve.  Genetic studies show bacteria frequently pick up foreign genes, usually from other bacteria.
[New Scientist October 19, 2004]
UP!


Dear Fraser,
I am a happy recipient of “The UP! Files” as I call them, and I congratulate you for producing such a worthwhile publication.  On a personal note I would also like you to know that I respect what you have done in the past with the Warp etc, and respect what you are doing now with the “The UP! Files”.   I think you are a visionary and visionaries are easy to choose not to understand.
May I urge you to publish the following statement, as prominently as you can, in your next publication?  I know you have done a lot to highlight the activities of the Bush administration and that you have featured articles by Michael Moore, however I am simply trying to spread the word about this extremely important film and to encourage people to see it, talk about it and spread the word further, the rest will happen naturally.

******************************
I have just watched Michael Moore's film Fahrenheit 9/11 and  with respect to those who have already discovered this film  would urge you to go out now and buy, borrow or hire it and watch it, talk about it and spread the word about it.
However much we may feel that we understand the 9/11/oil/iraq/terrorism thing, this film is an incredibly clear (and verifiable) insight into what is really going on.  So much so that some states in America are calling for the arrest of Michael Moore - the creator.

Whatever country you live in, please just watch the film and make you own mind up.
http://www.michaelmoore.com
******************************

I thank you in advance, regards,
Pete (London)
UP!


Fraser,
Crossing the generations one further time.  Even you should still be overwhelmed by the threads you (we weave).
A link for you:

http://www.slamevents.com/speak/viewtopic.php?t=19211
Hope you do not mind that I called you Dr Fraser Clark.
Keep it coming!
Daniel Osgrove, Glasgow
>> been called worse.
like having a "real messy site" :)
wot u mean without realising is that it doesn't look like a corporate business report :D
UP!


Please keep up the good work...  
You're a true blessing!
peeece,
Dimitri Djanbani, planet Earth,
UP!


Dear Fraser
The UP! is fantastic. Thank you so much!
Colin Franco, Zimbabwe
UP!


John Peeled Off
Molara: Do you believe in God?

John Peel: No not really.  I'd like to because I'd like to believe in an afterlife - obviously the older you get the more you think about these things - not because I want to spend all eternity singing hymns but I'd like to sort things out with my dad, apologise for being a crap son, and find out whether he really wanted my brother Frank to have the Welsh dresser.

Molara: Do you think you could be considered part of the underground culture of this country?

John Peel: I don't think I'm part of anything, I'm just there like the electricity if you want to switch on.  I don't think about it - it would be asking questions only you can answer and there lies madness…
UP!


london
NOV 4   Intelligence Now!
October Gallery celebrates its 25 year anniversary this Autumn, launching Intelligence Now!, a spectacular exhibition of work by contemporary artists from around the planet. Anniversary festivities will also include seminars, poetry, performances and installations, introducing new directions for the gallery.
http://www.octobergallery.co.uk/pdfs/october_gallery_25th_events.pdf
UP!


Paranoid 9/11 Fantasies Distract From Real Issues//FEEDBACK
Hi Fraser,
I'm here to tell you, my friend, that you are flat out wrong if you think the simplest explanation for 9-11 is the official narrative. The only way to explain all of the unexplained things that happened on 9-11 is that 9-11 was a "false flag" operation.
Come on Fraser, you're really losing your credibility with me over this.
>> the simplest interpretation requiring the fewest assumptions is angry religiously inspired arabs, pushed into this fanatical corner by entire lifetimes of seeing their nation, race and religion shafted, ripped off, and militarily organised by the 'christian' west.
this makes the fewest assumptions, your version requires many many "unexplained things that happened."
galen denzen, california

Dear Fraser, the thing is, I have no less than 6 e-mails I never sent you on the same question (because I didn't have the guts to be the first to say it).  Did Bush know or not?  I don't know, but the fact is hemade sureall the warnings were ignored,
>> he was bizzy maniacally doing something else like losing 3000 tons of ammunition.

acted like he wasn’t that surprised when it happened,
>> shitting in  his pants more like (and that’s what i heard at the time.  he was hiding in a toilet in a small air base.

and used it for his own political ends. 
>> nuttin strange there then :)

If Clinton had still been in power, it would never have happened - as he made perfectly clear on the David Letterman Show.  The Mujahedin/Islamic Jihad/Al Quaeda's stated purpose is to ensure that middle-eastern governments become Islamic governments.
>> actually it’s to have all foreign troops removed from arab lands. an utterly reasonable proposition.

So why did they destroy the twin towers?  Good question. 
>> see above

I'm still waiting for a credible answer.  Either way, they must have been very pleased when Bush turned Iraq into a place where they could have a say - which had not previously been the case.  Bush used the opportunity to shove through a lot of very questionable policies - like the right to stick anybody in jail for an indefinite term without access to lawyers never mind a trial.  As there’s no evidence of wrongdoing that could be used in a proper trial, these poor souls can only be considered 'political prisoners'.  That's how bad it is.  Like it or not, face it - there simply is no other way to join the dots.  Far from being paranoia, it's what I thought on September12th, and so far, what little has emerged has backed this up.
Jerry - Brescia, Italy.
>> well that’s certainly not what i was thinking!  i was wondering why it had taken the arabs and muslims and other oppressed peoples so long to get such easy shit together.   carpet cutters, remember?  there are so many objections to these conspiracies and there’s just one of them right there: why would such conspirators arm their made-up demons with carpet cutters when bazookas and computer tek would have been so much more scary.
UP!


NASA Researchers Investigate Way-Out Ideas
Research fellows at the NASA Institute for Advanced Concepts (NIAC) are developing "crazy ideas" for the future, such as skin-tight spray-on spacesuits for a trip to Mars ... static-electricity fields that would protect future lunar bases from space radiation ... even a lunar lab that could develop microbes for terraforming Mars.
[MSNBC Oct. 20, 2004]
UP!



london & wordwide
TUES NOV 2      Social Innovations Day To Be Marked By World’s Biggest Brainstorm
International Social Innovations Day will be marked by what could be the world ¹s largest ever brainstorm for new ideas.  The Global Ideas Bank, the non-profit organisers of the day, hope to encourage thousands of people from across the globe to submit their social inventions to their dedicated website.
http://www.globalideasbank.org
In doing so, the aim is to create a day-long worldwide extravaganza of creative thinking for social good.

This unprecedented burst of positivity has been deliberately scheduled on a day when another global event is happening: the
US Presidential Election.  On this day, when many people across the globe will be feeling disillusioned and disempowered no matter the outcome, what better antidote than to encourage people to think of solutions instead of dwelling on the problems?  The Global Ideas Bank provides a platform for people¹s creativity to be legitimised and recognised, and is creating a truly democratic think-tank of ideas and inventors.

On the day in the UK, the
Global Ideas Bank is also holding its annual Social Innovation Awards ceremony at the Royal Garden Hotel, Kensington.  At the ceremony, the 2004 award-winners will be officially announced, the Global Ideas Book will be launched, and there will be a speech from Mayer Hillman, author of How We Can Save the Planet . The award-winners this year include:

Mahabir Pun, for his innovative work connecting remote Nepalese villages to the internet
Multikulti.org for its pioneering multi-lingual welfare website
Kerry Channing, a Brighton IT consultant, for his Ethical IQ proposal
Bendigo Bank, Australia, for their community banking franchise scheme
Emmaus France, for their provision of internet space and accounts to the homeless
Shyam Telelink, India, for their rickshaw mobile phone initiative
http://www.globalideasbank.org/site/news
UP!


Nader's Own Test Shows the Candidates Are Different
b
y Paul von Hippel, Gadflyer
A cornerstone of Ralph Nader's presidential campaigns is the claim that there is little difference between the major parties, which Nader likens to Tweedledum and Tweedledee.

But are the parties really so close?  Government touches many issues, and though it's possible to find areas where the parties
converge, it's also possible to find big issues on which the parties differWould any Republican have proposed the Clinton health plan?  Would Al Gore have responded to 9/11 by invading Iraq and encouraging consumers to buy SUVs?  Has either Bush ever uttered the words "carbon tax"?

What we need is a systematic way to score politicians on a variety of public issues  especially the issues that matter to Nader and Nader voters.  Fortunately, such a scoring system exists, and Ralph Nader helped to set it up.

In 1975-76,
Congress Watch began scoring U.S. Senators and Representatives on selected roll-call votes.  Congress Watch is a branch of Public Citizen, which Ralph Nader founded in 1971 and directed until 1980.  Although Public Citizen now distances itself from Nader, until 2000 it wore Nader's name as a badge of pride.

The
Congress Watch scoring system has not fundamentally changed since Nader left the organisation.  In each Congress, they select a number of divisive votes, focusing on the corporate-consumer issues that are dear to Nader's heart.  On these issues, Congress Watch reports the percentage of the time that each Senator and Representative votes the "pro-consumer" position.

Though you might be surprised to hear it if you listen to Nader talk,
Congress Watch scores typically show a large gap between Democrats and Republicans.  In the 106th Congress  the last Congress before the 2000 election  the average Democratic Senator voted the Congress Watch position 77% of the time; the average Republican Senator sided with Congress Watch on only 13% of key votes.  The spread in the House was similar.

If we assume that
Ralph Nader himself would vote "for consumers" 100% of the time, it seems that the gap between Democrats and Republicans in Congress is almost 3 times larger than the gap between Democrats and Nader.

But are the members who run for President more alike?  Campaigning styles and legislative compromises can make candidates look similar, but the numbers tell a different story.  In a graph which shows scores for all the Congressional veterans that
Nader has opposed in a general Presidential election, there is a large and consistent gap between the Democrats (Gore, Lieberman, Kerry, and Edwards) and the Republicans (Dole, Kemp, Cheney, and Quayle).  Cheney, Dole, and Kemp have scored as low as 0%, whereas Kerry, in 1990, scored a perfect 100%.

This is not an unprecedented result. Analysing Congressional voting records, the political scientists Keith Poole and Howard Rosenthal have found a large gulf between the parties  a gulf that has grown wider, not narrower, since Nader's public career began in the mid-1960s.  Evidently the gulf remains visible even when an organisation Nader founded is deciding which votes are the ones that matter.

Ralph Nader has long had trouble telling his friends from his enemies.  In 1976, Jimmy Carter met twice with Nader, then hired several of the latter’s employees to work in the White House.  Yet Nader turned on Carter, directing his greatest scorn at Joan Claybrook, whom Carter had hired away from Nader to head the National Highway and Traffic Safety Administration (in 1982 Claybrook returned to become the President of Public Citizen, a position she holds to this day).  Nader's biographer Justin Martin recounts how, in 1978, Nader antagonised several Democratic House members, helping to scuttle his dream of establishing a Consumer Protection Agency.  He refused to endorse Carter in 1980, then lamented the election of Ronald Reagan.

Nader has never again had opportunities like the ones he squandered in 1977-1980.  Progressives should be sure not to squander the opportunity they have in 2004.
UP!


AXIS OF DRACULA
They're both members of the Skull and Bones and, as shown in their family tree, they're cousins.  Now Ancestry.com reveals that Bush and Kerry are not only related to Prince Charles, but to their common ancestor, Vlad the Impaler, the real Count Dracula.
http://www.infowars.com/print/Secret_societies/vladtree.htm
UP!


Experts Fear Escape Of 1918 Flu From Lab
The 1918 flu virus spread across the world in 3 months and killed at least 40 million people.  If it
escaped from a lab today, the death toll could be far higher because people born after 1918 have little or no immunity.  Yet, despite the danger,
American researchers are working with reconstructed versions of the virus.
[NewScientist.com News Oct. 21, 2004]
UP!


Plasma Beam Eyed in Space Travel
A University of Washington team is pioneering the concept of the Mag-beam, (magnetised-beam plasma propulsion), which could significantly shorten the time it takes to travel to other planets.  A space-based outpost station would generate a high-energy plasma beam aimed at a spaceship equipped with a sail, resulting in it being thrust forward.
[Wired News Oct. 19, 2004]
UP!

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====
how to end terrorism at a single stroke
// PLEASE CIRCULATE TO ALL CONCERNED PLANETARY CITIZENS //

an apology & solution offered to all arabs to end defensive jihad terrorism
by a citizen of the west

WE WHO CALL FOR PEACE MUST OFFER MORE THAN JUST THE HOPE THAT THE PROBLEM WILL GO AWAY.  PEACE IS A RESULT, NOT A SOLUTION!  IT IS THE RESULT OF ACTIONS TAKEN TO RESOLVE A PROBLEM.

TO END DEFENSIVE JIHAD TERRORISM WE MUST IDENTIFY THE PROBLEM, THEN DEAL WITH THE CAUSES.

THE PROBLEM/PEACE SOLUTION
1. except where we are able to admit our own far far worse & far far longer term terrorism, we must stop seeing it purely as terrorism.
”The killers are those who kill - and that includes our pilots as well as their bombers. We don't want to kill civilians, but we know that our wars will do that, and death does not come more pleasantly or less painfully because the victims are killed by the supposedly benevolent West rather than the supposedly cruel East. Now we are beginning to pay the price.”  Robert Fisk

2. al-queda leaders have made very clear all along that they are fighting a defensive jihad, the only one permitted by islam - the kind saladin fought successfully against the christian crusades.  indeed, as I read mohamed’s words, such action is obligatory on all muslims when the Faith / Faithful are under attack.  once a defensive jihad has been declared, aggressive attacks on the Enemy become permitted, even required.

(if your response is THEYRE ATTACKING US!, then ask yourself how many arab soldiers are positioned in your country.  and if u say, after all this, that our military were invited in by some MEGA FAT QUISLING SHEIKH, then I say u r a baboon :))  such ignorance is a geometrically accelerating danger to me and to all people on this planet.

3. we ALREADY KNOW against what those thousands of terrorists and hundreds of thousands of supporters are defending. and their demands are eminently reasonable:

A.  REMOVAL OF ALL FOREIGN TROOPS FROM ARAB LANDS (except UN)

B.  IMPOSITION OF A UN AGREED PEACE SETTLEMENT AROUND ISRAEL’S BORDERS. (militarily if necessarily, and for as long as required -  like yugoslavia).

these are an absolute minimum, are eminently reasonable, would already stop the massive spread of terrorism in its tracks, and would save hundreds (possibly hundreds of thousands?) of western lives over the next decade.  meanwhile the withdrawn personnel and equipment should be put to protecting our own homelands and borders.

C. FINANCIAL COMPENSATION FOR ALL FORCED CONTRACTS AND CRIMES AGAINST THEM, AND A SIMULTANEOUS CANCELLATION OF ALL WORLD DEBT (for the same reasons - and let’s pray the africans and the indians will be more ‘understanding’ than the arabs!)
removing soldiers and settling the israel question only delivers a level playing field, it would not be nearly enough to compensate for all the bullying terrorism we have practised on their civilisation over the centuries and since the discovery of oil. 
what’s fundamentally required is not some begrudging inch-by-inch retreat but a Magnificent Public Gesture to show Sincerity and Contrition (far better than having it forced on us at a later date when SOME terrorism continued to develop).  the establishing of a fair “market price” for oil would be an excellent step in this general direction - say double what we’ve allowed so far?

the above actions (or UN promises to implement) would, at a single stroke or in several steps,
i]  cut off the ‘religious’ base of the jihad
ii] answer the political grievances
iii] resolve the economic crimes. 
they would thus drain the massively spawning community of fanatics of public support, the planet would be perceived by all its inhabitants to be on a proper and fair evolutionary path at last, the terrorism problem would begin to wither on the vine, and surprisingly quickly the present problem would be looked back on as having been little more than a learning curve on humanity’s progress towards globality.

obviously none of this can begin to happen till the dinosaurs have finally been shrugged onto the Fossil Record, with the name George Bush consigned to History as the planet’s Greatest Bogyman & Schmuck.  sounds about right to me :)
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